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Soil-erosion events on arable land are nowcast by machine learning

Affiliation
University of Augsburg, Water and Soil Resources Research, Institute of Geography, Germany
Batista, Pedro V. G.;
GND
1173645446
Affiliation
Julius Kühn Institute (JKI), Department of Digitalisation and Artificial Intelligence, Germany
Möller, Markus;
Affiliation
Soil and Spatial Data Science, Soilution GbR, Germany
Schmidt, Karsten;
GND
1243187204
Affiliation
Julius Kühn Institute (JKI), Institute for Strategies and Technology Assessment, Germany
Waldau, Timm;
Affiliation
University of Augsburg, Water and Soil Resources Research, Institute of Geography, Germany
Seufferheld, Kay;
GND
1300940212
Affiliation
Julius Kühn Institute (JKI), Institute for Strategies and Technology Assessment, Germany
Htitiou, Abdelaziz;
GND
105914851X
Affiliation
Julius Kühn Institute (JKI), Institute for Strategies and Technology Assessment, Germany
Golla, Burkhard;
Affiliation
Bavarian State Research Centre for Agriculture, Germany
Ebertseder, Florian;
Affiliation
Technical University of Munich, School of Life Sciences, Germany
Auerswald, Karl;
Affiliation
University of Augsburg, Water and Soil Resources Research, Institute of Geography, Germany
Fiener, Peter

Accurate estimates of the location, timing, and severity of soil-erosion events on arable land have eluded erosion-prediction technology for decades. Here, for the first time, we demonstrate how a machine learning model parameterised with spatiotemporal covariates within a back-end infrastructure of data cubes can nowcast the occurrence and relatively rank the severity of erosion events on arable field parcels at the regional scale with high accuracy and interpretable outputs. Our findings pave the way for dynamic erosion-monitoring systems to achieve healthy soils and improve food security.

 

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License Holder: 2025 Elsevier B.V.

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