Prospecting future deforestation hotspots in the Ecuadorian Amazonas region under alternative scenarios of governance enforcement

Rummel, Lisa GND; Lippe, Melvin GND; Günter, Sven GND

Four land use change scenarios were simulated in 2017–2036 for Lorento Canton, Ecuador, differing in the level of governance enforcement. Frequency of future deforestation hotspots indicate a spatial goal conflict between forest conservation and agricultural expansion policies. Future land use conflicts can be avoided by harmonizing sectoral policy needs while safe-guarding environmental integrity.

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Rummel, Lisa / Lippe, Melvin / Günter, Sven: Prospecting future deforestation hotspots in the Ecuadorian Amazonas region under alternative scenarios of governance enforcement. Hamburg 2020. Thünen Institute of International Forestry and Forest Economics.

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