Environmental conditions in favour of a hantavirus outbreak in 2015 in Germany?

Reil, Daniela GND; Imholt, Christian GND; Drewes, Stephan GND; Ulrich, Rainer GND; Eccard, J.A.; Jacob, Jens GND

Bank voles can harbour Puumala virus (PUUV) and vole populations usually peak in years after beech mast. A beech mast occurred in 2014 and a predictive model indicates high vole abundance in 2015. This pattern is similar to the years 2009/2011 when beech mast occurred, bank voles multiplied and human PUUV infections increased a year later. Given similar environmental conditions in 2014/2015, increased risk of human PUUV infections in 2015 is likely. Risk management measures are recommended.

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Reil, Daniela / Imholt, C. / Drewes, Stephan / et al: Environmental conditions in favour of a hantavirus outbreak in 2015 in Germany?. 2015.

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